Monday, May 12, 2008

Pace of change

We do not have time, we must move to act to deal with future issues.

In 1982, I established part time a small IT business writing, producing and marketing software for the first mass market computer in Australia, the Commodore VIC20, RAM 3.2kb. In 1992, my son in year 11 wanted to set up a small business and we bought a Macintosh LC, RAM 64kb. The computer price, measure as price of RAM per kb in 1982 $75, in 1992 $64. My 2007 computer with 1GB of RAM would, at those prices not so long ago, cost $70,000,000. 

Who saw such dramatic change in this area of technology? Who will say where it will be in 2020?

Cars and trucks will be difficult to fuel in 2020. Already tradesmen, small business people, are feeling the pinch. I think we can expect that within the term of the next council the cost of fuel may double and may double again. The world is not running out of fuel, demand is racing past supply. In a region spread over many towns and villages, everything will change. How do we approach that, then? This is what Stuart Hill suggests:

  • Most of what is remains unknown - which is what wise people are able to work with - so devote most effort to developing your wisdom vs your cleverness, which is just concerned with the very limited pool of what is known (Einstein was clear about this!)
  • So always be humble and provisional in your knowing, and always open to the new; take small risks to enable progress and experience transformational learning and development
  • Devote most effort to the design & management of systems that can enable wellbeing, social justice and sustainability, & that are problem-proof vs maintaining unsustainable, problem-producing systems, & devoting time to 'problem-solving', control and input management.